AI Drives Hong Kong Stocks Higher

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The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies is reshaping industries worldwide, and one of the most significant areas of impact is the financial marketsRecently, Hong Kong's stock market has experienced a remarkable surge, driven in large part by advancements in AI, specifically the introduction of the DeepSeek AI modelAs of mid-February 2024, the Hang Seng Index was closing in on the 23,000-point mark, an encouraging indicator of investor sentiment, with Tencent Holdings leading the charge as its stock briefly crossed the 500 HKD thresholdThe Hang Seng Technology Index also reached new highs, a clear reflection of the growing optimism surrounding technology stocks, particularly those in the AI space.

What stands out about this particular surge in Hong Kong's stock market is the strength of the rebound, which has outpaced the recovery seen in mainland China's A-share marketThis disparity has sparked interest among market observers, who point to the influence of DeepSeek and the broader adoption of AI technologies as the driving force behind the bullish trend in Hong KongWhile the A-shares market has yet to experience the same level of excitement, many analysts believe that this is likely to change as the recognition of AI’s potential continues to grow, with investors expected to diversify their portfolios to include sectors enhanced by AI.

DeepSeek, a homegrown AI model developed in China, offers several key advantages over other AI modelsNotably, it boasts lower training costs while maintaining high performance levels, making it an attractive solution for businesses seeking to integrate AI without incurring exorbitant expensesThis affordability has led to widespread adoption across various sectors in Hong Kong, from social media and e-commerce to new energy vehicles and internet-driven healthcareThese developments have had a significant impact on the valuation of technology stocks in the region, and the momentum created by DeepSeek is helping to fuel a valuation rebound, particularly for large tech firms in Hong Kong

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These companies are seen as vital players in attracting foreign capital into Chinese assets, making the surge in Hong Kong’s tech stocks even more significant in the context of broader capital flows into China.

The makeup of Hong Kong’s investor base also plays a crucial role in the market’s recent performanceFan Jituo, a strategist at Cinda Securities, pointed out that fluctuations in short-term market performance are often driven by institutional investors’ expectationsA combination of factors, including traditional capital inflows around the Lunar New Year, positive sentiment around AI technologies like DeepSeek, and a general sense of optimism, has created a perfect environment for growthHistorically, Hong Kong’s stock market has tended to lead mainland China’s market by several weeks during recovery phases, and this trend has been evident in recent months.

Looking forward, the relationship between Hong Kong and mainland China's A-shares market is likely to become even more intertwinedCapital flows from China are increasingly seen as a key driver for the performance of A-shares, while Hong Kong continues to benefit from the inflow of foreign capitalHu Yu, the Chief Economist at Xinding Fund, suggested that this shift in capital dynamics will continue, with foreign investment continuing to flow into Hong Kong markets, while the A-shares market remains primarily driven by domestic capitalThis trend has given Hong Kong’s stock market a distinct lead over A-shares in recent months, and both markets are expected to continue evolving in tandem, albeit with Hong Kong potentially leading the way in terms of technological and AI-driven growth.

Despite the current enthusiasm in Hong Kong’s tech sector, analysts remain cautious, noting that the A-shares market is likely to catch up in due courseFan Jituo predicted that as sentiment and capital flows adjust, particularly with the retail investor segment, the Shanghai Composite Index could eventually outperform the Hang Seng Index

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This shift in momentum is expected to unfold gradually through the first half of 2024, with retail fund movements and post-Lunar New Year economic data playing pivotal roles in shaping the direction of the marketThe second phase of this market cycle, which is expected to last until mid-April, will likely see increased participation from retail investors and could result in a more balanced performance between the two markets.

The influence of AI is not confined to the stock market; it is also transforming entire industriesOne of the most profound effects of AI's proliferation is being felt in manufacturing, where the application of DeepSeek is helping to revolutionize operationsAI is being used to enhance quality control, optimize manufacturing processes, and improve supply chain managementThese advancements are expected to bridge gaps in efficiency and productivity, making manufacturing industries more agile and cost-effectiveSectors such as new energy vehicles, robotics, and AI-centric hardware are particularly well-positioned to benefit from these developments as investment continues to flow into the broader manufacturing spaceThe infusion of AI into these industries is seen as a key factor in driving long-term growth and innovation.

The anticipated decline in computing costs by 2025 is another factor that is expected to accelerate the growth of AI applications across multiple industriesAs Li Lifeng, a strategist at Huaxi Securities, noted, the evolution of the AI market is undergoing a significant shift, with a move away from focusing primarily on upstream components like optical modules, toward more downstream applications in areas such as healthcare, consumer goods, gaming, and humanoid roboticsWhile 2023 has been widely recognized as the year of generative AI, experts predict that 2025 will be the year when AI’s practical applications truly explode, offering vast opportunities for companies involved in China’s AI sectorThis shift will likely have profound implications for both the domestic and global markets, positioning China at the forefront of the next phase of AI-driven economic growth.

As China continues to innovate and lead in AI development, the opportunities for both investors and businesses are becoming increasingly apparent

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